Friday, March 14, 2008

Snow On The Way

No big storms are coming, like I hinted at in the last blog. The computer models are agreeing on a southern track for Sunday's storm, with the closest model bringing a windy snow or rainstorm to Cape Cod up to Plymouth MA. But we have to turn our attention to another storm, that is only 24 hours away. I'll lay the frames for it tonight, and try to go into detail tomorrow.

The potential is there for several inches of snow tomorrow night and Saturday morning, as a low pressure system quickly passes south of New England. Temperatures are going to be marginal in southern NH and northern MA, and with temperatures going up into the 50s tomorrow, chances are this will start as rain. Here in the upper valley, it will probably start as rain as well, but transition over to snow earlier.

As cold air works in to the storm, and if it comes down hard enough, the rain will change over to snow in southern NH. One model shows a pretty good dousing of liquid equivalent precipitation late tomorrow night and early Saturday, and a good amount of that could be snow.

We're getting closer to spring now, so elevation will play a large factor, meaning, the higher elevations will pick up more. Early estimates would be an advisory level snow is possible, meaning 3-6 inches in the hills of northern MA and southern NH, and 1-3 inches in the valleys. Here in the upper valley, a general 2-5 inches is expected, with 4-6+ possible above 1000 feet. The White Mtns and northern New England might actually miss the heaviest precipitation this time.

Important update tomorrow morning...temperatures are going to be very marginal in southern NH and northern MA, so elevation will make all the difference in the world.

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