More Wet Than White

Quick update, rain till evening....possibly changing to snow, maybe a coating to an inch, esp above 1000 feet. The Greens, will get more, the Adirondacks and Catskills are gonna get slammed...12-20 inches. That is all I have to say.

Let's talk about snow!

This isn't a practice write up. This is real. :)

Yea...it's time. Not only because I consider fall...just about over...but there is a storm on the way, and we might get some snow. So I say, bring it on.

There is still much disagreement with the track of this early season....wait for it....nor'easter, but there is enough consensus to be concerned about the first accumulations of the year, even here in Lebanon.

This is subject to change of course. This morning it appeared that we were going to get hit by a significant snowfall, like 4-8 inches. But now, the models have shifted the track west. The NAM model is furthest west, and one of the outliers. That would give central NY the heaviest snow, and give us rain, and rain to snow in the mtns with accumulation at the end. The other outlier brings the storm off the coast, which is a much colder solution, and would give us significant accumulating snows. Chances are, the track will be somewhere in the middle, so probably just west, or to the eat of the Connecticut River Valley. That puts Lebanon on a fine line between mostly rain with flurries at the end, or rain to snow with a few inches of accumulation, and up to 6+ inches above 1500 feet.

FWIW, here is a model solution that right now, looks like the most likely solution.



That would spell a lot of snow in eastern NY, esp in the mtns, and possibly snow down to PA and NJ. And it has Lebanon under 1-2 inches, which seems like a good compromise. More will fall in the hills.

I'll try to have an update tonight and tomorrow. I think this situation will warrant an update. Someone in NY or western New England is going to get a foot...yea, a foot of snow.

Winter 08-09 is here!