Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Starting to Warm Up-Lots To Talk About

After a low of 3 Saturday night, we're going in the opposite direction tonight. In fact, temperatures are steady right now, in the mid 30s, and will be rising towards dawn, from hilltops to valleys. The warm air will work its way into the higher elevations first and then slowly make its way into the valleys. You can see it already on the Mt Washington autoroad temperature profile, where its 31 degrees at 1600 feet, but 43 degrees at 4000 feet, where the warm air is working in. Nice inversion.



Currently, the warmest temperatures are at the MA/NH border, anywhere west and south of the Green Mtns, and in the higher elevations, where its between 40-50 degrees. Elsewhere, temperatures are stuck in the 30s.

Current Temps
Plymouth 33 (550 ft)
Springfield VT (500 ft) 34
Lebanon 36 (600 ft)
Rutland, VT 43 (west of the greens)
Springfield NH 43 (1400 ft)
Westmoreland NH 45 (1145 ft)
Jaffrey 46 (1040 ft)
Orange, MA 48 (south of warm front)
Bennington VT 48 (west of the greens, and south of warm front)
Fitchburg, MA 53 (south of warm front)

Temps should eventually rise to near 40 by dawn in the lower elevations of the river valleys.

Tomorrow, winds will mix everything up and the mild air will be at all elevations. Add an hour or two of sunshine and we could be talking 60 degrees by later in the afternoon. The best chance for 60+ will be across southern NH and MA because they will start out the day in the 50s, but its possible here as well because we live in a north south valley, and there will be a screaming southwest wind, 20-30 mph with higher gusts in the afternoon.

Chances are we will remain in the 50s tomorrow, but there is an outside shot at cracking 60. No matter, a strong cold front will move in by evening with a band of showers, and maybe a rumble of thunder, strong gusty winds, and a drop in temperatures. Rain will change to snow in the mtns with a couple inches possible there.

There is a flood watch for the entire state of Vermont, for ice jam flooding and snow melt flooding, thanks to the warm weather and rain coming. If you live near a small, flashy stream, pay close attention to it. It will be running high starting tomorrow, and probably get higher thorough the week. Snow is melting rapidly tonight because of dense fog and steadily rising temperatures. "Snow eating" fog! I think that my weeks end, there will be no snow left in the upper valley, except in the woods, and in piles. As long as we don't get another snowstorm that is....more on that later.

Locally, it will be blustery and cooler tomorrow night and Wednesday, but not as cold as this weekend. Prob 40-45. Then back to near 50 or slightly higher Thursday.

We need to watch Friday for a potential snow or rain storm. Latest models show more snow than rain. Few days to watch it.....

Hoping for 60 tomorrow. We haven't hit it all year!

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